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Nov 15, 2012
11/12
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[no audio] [no audio] [no audio] -- what was arguably governor romney's finest moment of the campaign. the first debate. it's a thank you very much for being here. our title today is the future of the republican party. that assumes of course that has one. [laughter] and let's start by talking about the election because he played obviously a crucial role in ohio. i want to get a sense of you're now seeing reports that the campaign was very surprised by the outcome, even right up to the evening of election day because the polls were showing something different. your polls are showing something different than everybody else. if thatcher and how surprised was the campaign? >> will first, it was a very close election in ohio. ohio is one of the key states. even if we want it turns out the electoral vote count would've gone to president obama. we lost by two points in ohio and recall back in 2004, when john kerry lost to george bush, he would often say both publicly and to me on the floor of the senate, but perhaps the people could fit in the ohio state stadium i'd be president today. so wa
[no audio] [no audio] [no audio] -- what was arguably governor romney's finest moment of the campaign. the first debate. it's a thank you very much for being here. our title today is the future of the republican party. that assumes of course that has one. [laughter] and let's start by talking about the election because he played obviously a crucial role in ohio. i want to get a sense of you're now seeing reports that the campaign was very surprised by the outcome, even right up to the evening...
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Nov 14, 2012
11/12
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i'm trying to think that romney is an attractive candidate. when it tells you something about what people perceive, i think he was defined in the republican primaries. i don't think he ever fully recovered from the damage that was inflicted when he was moving so far to the right when he came and got to the general election and -- >> but he didn't have a choice, did he? [talking over each other] >> we saw what jon huntsman day. >> he was pushing towards 3%. >> in basic, i think, going on in the republican party that is unhealthy for the country. trent lott is not comfortable, in that party. >> i don't know when i became an established moderate. [laughter] >> but you are an established moderate. [laughter] >> all right, let's open it up. i know there are a number of people here tonight who have decided to get engaged in this fight and way that ceos of large companies have not come in the past, mark, maybe i will put you on the spot. will you allow me to do that? you have your senator up here. i am proud of mark's involvement. when we send out. o
i'm trying to think that romney is an attractive candidate. when it tells you something about what people perceive, i think he was defined in the republican primaries. i don't think he ever fully recovered from the damage that was inflicted when he was moving so far to the right when he came and got to the general election and -- >> but he didn't have a choice, did he? [talking over each other] >> we saw what jon huntsman day. >> he was pushing towards 3%. >> in basic, i...
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Nov 9, 2012
11/12
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men voted for romney. white, black and hispanic women were more democratic than white, black and hispanic men. the gender gap lives in 18 percentage points. women ohio voted for obama and women, men in ohio voted for romney. the marriage gap was a whopping 41 points with married voters decidedly republican in this election and the rowing group of nonmarried's overwhelmingly democratic. all of these data are in our new aei political report prepared by andrew and we want to thank claude for getting this report on the fault of the latest 2012 data for 22 key demographic groups available for you today. the demographic changes are being felt in congress too. david wasserman at "the cook political report" wrote that for the first time ever white men will no longer be a majority in the democratic caucus. in 1953, he says there were 98% of house democrats and 97% of house republicans. along with the demographic data, the exit polls show obama was able to defuse the economic issues and he won overwhelmingly on empa
men voted for romney. white, black and hispanic women were more democratic than white, black and hispanic men. the gender gap lives in 18 percentage points. women ohio voted for obama and women, men in ohio voted for romney. the marriage gap was a whopping 41 points with married voters decidedly republican in this election and the rowing group of nonmarried's overwhelmingly democratic. all of these data are in our new aei political report prepared by andrew and we want to thank claude for...
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Nov 14, 2012
11/12
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in the end mitt romney loss but in the end it didn't make a difference. i will also say when you can not coordinate between a campaign and someone else helping you, sometimes the ads are less helpful. some of the ads were good. some of them weren't. some of them were off message. and in your business, think about it with your markets efforts. if you had to have a marketing team within your business but also an outside marketing team you had no control over and couldn't commune kate with, how would you feel about your results? probably not very good because you want to be able to target it and, you know, develop your message appropriately and, there was, i'm not saying that it was, it was, not without some impact. i think it had a lot of impact but it would be much more impactful obviously. it would be run through the campaign and have it be consistent with the campaign's message. >> i'm being told that is, that is the end of this session but one bit of housekeeping. we're going to have dessert and coffee downstairs where we have been having the meetings r
in the end mitt romney loss but in the end it didn't make a difference. i will also say when you can not coordinate between a campaign and someone else helping you, sometimes the ads are less helpful. some of the ads were good. some of them weren't. some of them were off message. and in your business, think about it with your markets efforts. if you had to have a marketing team within your business but also an outside marketing team you had no control over and couldn't commune kate with, how...
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Nov 14, 2012
11/12
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and that was governor romney's finest moment in the campaign. the first debate thank you for being here. the title today is the future of the republican party. this assumes of course it has one. [laughter] let's start by talking about the election because you played a crucial role in ohio, and i want to give your sense we are now seeing reports that the campaign was very surprised by the outcome even right up to the evening of election day because they were showing something different than everybody else. is that true and really how surprised was the campaign? >> first was a very close election in ohio even if we want ohio it turns out that the electoral votes would have gone to president obama but we lost by two points in ohio. recall back in 2004 when john carey lost to george bush he would often say both publicly and to me on the floor of the senate and the people you could fit in the ohio stadium why would the president today. so it was a very narrow victory. i do think there were some reasons that were almost technical some as you understan
and that was governor romney's finest moment in the campaign. the first debate thank you for being here. the title today is the future of the republican party. this assumes of course it has one. [laughter] let's start by talking about the election because you played a crucial role in ohio, and i want to give your sense we are now seeing reports that the campaign was very surprised by the outcome even right up to the evening of election day because they were showing something different than...
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Nov 19, 2012
11/12
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and 7-2 romney and quite frankly it has been about that. it has been roughly 3-1. that is the highest it's been but quite frankly it's been high all through. but what if they split it or romney just got a little bit more? if romney had 151% of the lgbt vote he would have won ohio, florida and virginia. he would have been within four electoral votes of the presidency. so in ohio and florida, albeit to do was win a little over one third of the lgbt vote to win this big. so while i don't think that suggests that suddenly in the way that we are not talking about like immigration and things that republicans have to rethink their strategy, i don't think it's quite that level of impact, but a little bit of movement on any lgbt vote in key states, there would have been a very different picture for the national election. and so while i'm not willing to say that they lgbt vote won the election for obama, what i strongly think is it made a very important difference in the tenor of the election and in the majority of the electoral college and it defini
and 7-2 romney and quite frankly it has been about that. it has been roughly 3-1. that is the highest it's been but quite frankly it's been high all through. but what if they split it or romney just got a little bit more? if romney had 151% of the lgbt vote he would have won ohio, florida and virginia. he would have been within four electoral votes of the presidency. so in ohio and florida, albeit to do was win a little over one third of the lgbt vote to win this big. so while i don't think...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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if we see any slippage in that area, that would spell some trouble for mitt romney. orlando, the democrats should win the orlando area. the president should benefit from the large puerto rican population that's heavily democrat in the orlando area. if we see him not doing well in the orlando area, then it's going to be a long night for president obama. >> well, there are a couple of key areas. first of all, let's go to eastern iowa, and let's look at scott county which on the iowa side of the border would be davenport and bettendorf. a couple hundred thousand people. it's a swing county. davenport is industrial, transdemocratic. bettendorf is more suburban, trends republican. very, very swing district. it goes both ways depending on the election, so it'll depend on turnout out there. and if you go to the northwest corner, northwest quarter of the state, that's a rural, very, very republican area, and one of the things we'll be watching for there on election night is turnout. because that's an area that trends republican, but it's an area that's more or less evangelic
if we see any slippage in that area, that would spell some trouble for mitt romney. orlando, the democrats should win the orlando area. the president should benefit from the large puerto rican population that's heavily democrat in the orlando area. if we see him not doing well in the orlando area, then it's going to be a long night for president obama. >> well, there are a couple of key areas. first of all, let's go to eastern iowa, and let's look at scott county which on the iowa side of...